Our Research
The Calm before the Storm?
Preparing for Trump; What to look for in Biden’s final weeks; Brace for supply chain headwinds as trade war intensifies; A Reckoning in Tech?; Prisoner swap releases Chinese spies; Taiwan says Mahalo while China fumes
Why Do We Tolerate Beijing’s Belligerence?
Tom Lyons, co-founder of 2430 Group, asserts in the Wall Street Journal that too many U.S. companies have meekly accepted a general subjugation to the Communist Party’s new order.
How China is attempting to influence US elections
China is increasingly its espionage and infiltration techniques against the US in the lead up to the November 2024 election. 2430 Group summarizes some of the CCP’s most prominent techniques.
The U.S. Can Provide an Alternative to China in Sub-Saharan Africa
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, and Ben Kallas, CEO and co-founder of Searchlight, write in World Politics Review about how China's influence in sub-Saharan Africa faces challenges exemplified by the situation in Zambia, where diverse local perceptions and the presence of autonomous Chinese operators present opportunities for Western engagement to counterbalance China's dominance in critical mineral resources.
Kamala Harris and China
China’s views on the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee; The South China Sea; Beijing struggles to restart its sputtering economy; G42 takes center stage in US-China contestation; Foreign travel a no-go for Chinese officials; Trade still trumps security for some
How China’s Intelligence Law Backfired
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, writes in The Cipher Brief about how China's 2017 National Intelligence Law, requiring citizens and companies to cooperate with intelligence services, has led to increased international scrutiny and bans on Chinese companies over espionage concerns, despite China's denials and protestations.
Fox in the Henhouse: The Growing Harms of North Korea’s Remote IT Workforce
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, writes in The Diplomat about how Pyongyang has infiltrated its IT workers into contractors and subcontractors serving the United States’ largest and most profitable companies.
Accusations of overcapacity drive geopolitical polarization
China’s economy at “overcapacity”; Yellen goes to Beijing; The US, Japan and Australia invest in diversifying supply chains to mitigate Chinese risk; AI-generated disinformation targets US elections; Cybersecurity lapses lead to political pile on; East Asia hedges against China, while Ma visits Beijing
Business Intelligence Report: The Chinese Vaping Industry
This report provides an overview of the Chinese vaping industry, highlighting notable companies and their connections to the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC).
Xi’s plan to win back foreign businesses hits hacking roadblock
China tries to woo back foreign businesses; Congress remains tough on China, in spite of America’s CEOs; China adopts additional protectionist measures, but semiconductors remain an exception; ByteDance isn’t budging on TikTok; DOJ calls out China’s hacking; “Three Body Problem” becomes a hit outside China
Two-Sessions, TikTok, and Google’s insider problem
Our latest Red Report on China's recent "Two Sessions" political meeting, the TikTok ban, questions about growth targets, and chip manufacturers.
Heightened China Troubles Continue for Foreign Businesses
2430 Group’s Red Report on China’s legal securitization; China’s lobbying efforts; China’s first 6G satellite; TSMC hedging against potential invasion; hiring hackers; and Hungary as the West’s Achilles Heel
Xi’s world tour fails to distract from CCP’s tightening grip
Our latest Red Report on Xi’s diplomatic efforts, the Biden Administration’s push for export controls, and a heating up election in Taiwan.
Chinese Disinformation Targeting Japan
This study identifies three key narratives targeting Japan that the CCP has amplified and distorted to bolster CCP influence relative to Japan.
China’s aggressive fragility
Director Glenn Chafetz writes in The Hill about the nervousness that underlies much of China’s politicking on the global stage.
When is our 9/11 Moment with China?
Tom Lyons, co-founder of 2430 Group, argues in The Cipher Brief that 9/11 fundamentally shifted US foreign policy priorities towards the Middle East. When will we have a similar reckoning with China?
How China Evades Sanctions & Threatens Global Resources
2430 Group exposed an attempt by a China-backed company, Norin Mining, to hide its connection to its sanctioned parent company while seeking to acquire an Australian private equity firm's shares of its copper mining operations in Zambia.
China, Lawfare, and the Contest for Control of Low Earth Orbit
2430 Group’s Glenn Chafetz and Xavier Ortiz argue in The Diplomat that Chinese government seeks strategic advantage in space through attacks on the Western private sector.
Anti-Red is the New Black
Fiscal Stimulus is in; Anti-Red is the New Black; South and Latin American Countries Switch to Trade in RMB; Electric Vehicles SurgeC hinese Malware in Guam (is just the beginning); Taiwan Toys with “White Power” (not that kind)
Flying cars might be closer than we thought
It’s the (Private) Economy, stupid; Yellen, Kerry, and Kissinger take on Beijing; China’s Digital Currency; Flying cars might be closer than we thought; Continued pressure on foreign firms leads to relocations
The UnderSimplified Podcast
From Aaron Brown, 2430 Group Associate founder
Aaron uses his career in the CIA, as an Army Ranger, and deputy sheriff, and now as an entrepreneur and technologist, to engage deep thinkers and experts across pivotal issues of our time. Using this platform, Aaron challenges these guests to join him in raising the quality of our collective conversation. And, if we are lucky, maybe we’ll find an easier path to travel together.