Our Research
Why Do We Tolerate Beijing’s Belligerence?
Tom Lyons, co-founder of 2430 Group, asserts in the Wall Street Journal that too many U.S. companies have meekly accepted a general subjugation to the Communist Party’s new order.
Mapping Iran’s Media Influence
2430 Group visualizes Iran’s centers of elite power and how different players utilize different media operations to further their own agendas.
How China is attempting to influence US elections
China is increasingly its espionage and infiltration techniques against the US in the lead up to the November 2024 election. 2430 Group summarizes some of the CCP’s most prominent techniques.
Chinese Cars as Military Threats? It’s Not Science Fiction
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, writes in The Cipher Brief about concerns over Chinese-manufactured vehicles and their software as national security threats, highlighting potential military applications of Chinese networked vehicles and Low Earth Orbit satellites.
The U.S. Can Provide an Alternative to China in Sub-Saharan Africa
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, and Ben Kallas, CEO and co-founder of Searchlight, write in World Politics Review about how China's influence in sub-Saharan Africa faces challenges exemplified by the situation in Zambia, where diverse local perceptions and the presence of autonomous Chinese operators present opportunities for Western engagement to counterbalance China's dominance in critical mineral resources.
Kamala Harris and China
China’s views on the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee; The South China Sea; Beijing struggles to restart its sputtering economy; G42 takes center stage in US-China contestation; Foreign travel a no-go for Chinese officials; Trade still trumps security for some
How China’s Intelligence Law Backfired
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, writes in The Cipher Brief about how China's 2017 National Intelligence Law, requiring citizens and companies to cooperate with intelligence services, has led to increased international scrutiny and bans on Chinese companies over espionage concerns, despite China's denials and protestations.
Fox in the Henhouse: The Growing Harms of North Korea’s Remote IT Workforce
Glenn Chafetz, Director of 2430 Group, writes in The Diplomat about how Pyongyang has infiltrated its IT workers into contractors and subcontractors serving the United States’ largest and most profitable companies.
Accusations of overcapacity drive geopolitical polarization
China’s economy at “overcapacity”; Yellen goes to Beijing; The US, Japan and Australia invest in diversifying supply chains to mitigate Chinese risk; AI-generated disinformation targets US elections; Cybersecurity lapses lead to political pile on; East Asia hedges against China, while Ma visits Beijing
Business Intelligence Report: The Chinese Vaping Industry
This report provides an overview of the Chinese vaping industry, highlighting notable companies and their connections to the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC).
Xi’s plan to win back foreign businesses hits hacking roadblock
China tries to woo back foreign businesses; Congress remains tough on China, in spite of America’s CEOs; China adopts additional protectionist measures, but semiconductors remain an exception; ByteDance isn’t budging on TikTok; DOJ calls out China’s hacking; “Three Body Problem” becomes a hit outside China
Two-Sessions, TikTok, and Google’s insider problem
Our latest Red Report on China's recent "Two Sessions" political meeting, the TikTok ban, questions about growth targets, and chip manufacturers.
Heightened China Troubles Continue for Foreign Businesses
2430 Group’s Red Report on China’s legal securitization; China’s lobbying efforts; China’s first 6G satellite; TSMC hedging against potential invasion; hiring hackers; and Hungary as the West’s Achilles Heel
Russia and China are part of the same problem for the United States
Members of the US Congress who oppose further military aid for Ukraine often seek to justify their position by claiming that China rather than Russia presents a greater danger to the United States. They argue that the rise of China means it is in American interests to accommodate Russia, while it should be up to Europe to shoulder the burden of Ukrainian security.
Xi’s world tour fails to distract from CCP’s tightening grip
Our latest Red Report on Xi’s diplomatic efforts, the Biden Administration’s push for export controls, and a heating up election in Taiwan.
Chinese Disinformation Targeting Japan
This study identifies three key narratives targeting Japan that the CCP has amplified and distorted to bolster CCP influence relative to Japan.
China’s aggressive fragility
Director Glenn Chafetz writes in The Hill about the nervousness that underlies much of China’s politicking on the global stage.
When is our 9/11 Moment with China?
Tom Lyons, co-founder of 2430 Group, argues in The Cipher Brief that 9/11 fundamentally shifted US foreign policy priorities towards the Middle East. When will we have a similar reckoning with China?
Revolutionary Change in the Intelligence Community: The Technology Factor
2430 Director Glenn Chafetz talks to Deep State Radio’s podcast about technological innovation in the intelligence community.
The UnderSimplified Podcast
From Aaron Brown, 2430 Group Associate founder
Aaron uses his career in the CIA, as an Army Ranger, and deputy sheriff, and now as an entrepreneur and technologist, to engage deep thinkers and experts across pivotal issues of our time. Using this platform, Aaron challenges these guests to join him in raising the quality of our collective conversation. And, if we are lucky, maybe we’ll find an easier path to travel together.